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Policy Brief: CBO Says Tariffs Will Be Bad; In Reality They Will Be Even Worse (2025)

CBO Says Tariffs Will Be Bad; In Reality They Will Be Even Worse (2025)

This Policy Brief, prepared by Trade Partnership Worldwide staff, examines the Congressional Budget Office’s (CBO) recent assessment of economy-wide impacts of proposed tariffs on U.S. imports and argues that a dynamic trade model is necessary to capture 10-year impacts. Given CBO’s important role in legislative processes, it is critical to ask whether CBO’s approach fully captures the likely impacts of potential tariffs.

Click here to view the report.

Estimated Impacts of Proposed Tariffs on Imports: Apparel, Toys, Furniture, Household Appliances, Footwear, and Travel Goods

This study assesses the likely consumer impacts of 10%-20% universal tariff on all imports – plus an additional 60%-100% tariffs on imports from China – on selected consumer products including apparel, toys, furniture, household appliances, footwear, and travel goods. Prepared by Trade Partnership Worldwide on behalf of the National Retail Federation.

Click here to access the report. (Click here to access a similar report on select consumer technology products.)

How The Proposed Trump Tariffs Increase Prices for Consumer Technology Products (2025)

How The Proposed Trump Tariffs Increase Prices for Consumer Technology Products (2025)

This study assesses the likely consumer impacts of a 10%-20% universal tariff on all imports – plus an additional 60%-100% tariffs on imports from China – on selected consumer electronics including smart phones, laptops, tablets and TVs, among others. Prepared by Trade Partnership Worldwide on behalf of the Consumer Technology Association (CTA).

Click here to access the report from CTA. (Click here to access a similar report on select consumer products.)

Coalition of Services Industries (CSI) State and Congressional District Reports (2024)

Trade Partnership Worldwide prepared state and congressional district one pagers for the Coalition of Services Industries (CSI). Key highlights include the growing importance of services exports to the world, the jobs supported by services exports to key trading partners, and the rebound in services exports during the Covid-19 pandemic. All of the reports rely on data from our CDxjobs and CDxports databases.

Click below to download copies of the national and state reports.

Brookings USMCA Tracker Update (2024)

Trade Partnership Worldwide provided new 2022 data, and revised historical data, for the Brookings Institution’s interactive USMCA Tracker. The database estimates subnational goods exports and related jobs for trade between the United States, Mexico, and Canada. The U.S. state data relies on our CDxjobs and CDxports databases. Jobs data for Mexican states and Canadian provinces were estimated by applying a similar methodology to national and international data sources. Users can select country, state or province, trading partner, year, and level of product detail based on the Harmonized Schedule.

PNTR Revocation is a Recipe for Inflation (2024)

This study assesses the likely impacts of the revocation of “permanent normal trade relations” for China, which would raise tariffs significantly on all goods imported from China. The study focuses on the consumer impacts on selected consumer electronics, including smart phones, laptops, tablets and TVs. Prepared by Trade Partnership Worldwide on behalf of the Consumer Technology Association.

 

Click here to view the press release.